Stop overpaying on CBAM certificates
Under CBAM's definitive phase, EU importers must surrender certificates calculated from their Indian suppliers' specific embedded emissions (SEE). Without verified actual data, the EU applies a default value — which overstates Indian blast furnace / basic oxygen furnace emissions by up to 85%.
The financial consequence scales sharply as the CBAM factor rises each year. On a 1 million tonne import book, the gap between actual and default emissions will cost over €28 million per year by 2034 — entirely avoidable with a verified dossier.
| Year | CBAM Factor | Cost gap per 100k t |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.5% | ~€358,000 |
| 2027 | 5.0% | ~€715,000 |
| 2028 | 10% | ~€1.76M |
| 2030 | 48.5% | ~€10.7M |
| 2034 | 100% | ~€28.6M |
Assumptions: 2.2 tCO₂/t SEE gap (4.697 default less 2.5 actual); ETS price €65–130/tCO₂ escalating to 2034.
EU default overstates Indian BF-BOF emissions relative to verified actual data for leading Indian integrated steelmakers.